Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and the IPCC
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From the Voices of Humanity front page: "The world, our world, Planet Earth is in trouble, a trouble of our own making. Humanity, by a combination of population growth and misguided economic development, has overstepped Nature’s limits. Civilization as it goes is not sustainable and will collapse, and in the non-linear way of things, all too likely sooner rather than later."

Given that the national efforts agreed in COP 26 will give us a catastrophic 2.7 degree Celcius global warming, the collapse of civilization is a reasonable forecast. And that is without considering the destruction of wildlife around the planet. 

The Atlantic has a November 2021 article entitled "We're Heading Straight for a Demi-Armageddon": https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/11/how-bad-will-climate-change-get/620605/

The Atlantic article invokes the notion of Shared Socieoeconomic Pathways, from the August 2021 IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) report. The most likely Pathway is business as usual, which will lead to 2.7 degrees celcius which is 4.9 degrees farenheit. Yet the expert quoted by the article says even this disastrous pathway will be blessed with continued improvement of the human condition on average, growing life expectancy and declining rates of poverty and hunger -- no collapse of civilization, though likely more chaos and sweat and some areas of the world suffering enormously.

I don't believe it, myself. The IPCC is doing a better job at estimating global warming, but this part of the report supports the nations as they continue their irresponsible ways, same as the old IPCC reports used to do with their underestimates of global warming.


#The_UN_Goals #climateaction #apart #un_goals

This item was posted by a member of #climateaction in The UN Goals conversation in apart mode.
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by Roger Eaton
2021-11-06 17:19
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Conversation: The UN Goals
Message Tags: #The_UN_Goals, #climateaction, #apart, #un_goals

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